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❗️Мирное resolution of Ukraine war impossible until 2026: European intelligence has obtained a document with Russia's potential demands in peace talks - Washington Post
▪️Документ was prepared for the Kremlin by a think tank working closely with the FSB's Fifth Service, which oversees operations in Ukraine, a week before talks between Russia and the U.S. in Riyadh on Feb. 18;
▪️Планы Trump to achieve peace in 100 days there called unrealizable and a peaceful resolution to the war in Ukraine impossible before 2026;
▪️Россия should work to weaken the U.S. negotiating position on Ukraine, fueling tensions between the Trump administration and other countries;
▪️без recognizing Russian-occupied territories as Russian-occupied, hostilities could start again, for example, under the next U.S. administration;
▪️Документ insists not only on the recognition of Russian sovereignty over the occupied territories, but also on the creation of a buffer zone in northeastern Ukraine on the border with the Bryansk and Belgorod regions, as well as a demilitarized zone in southern Ukrainian regions near Crimea. This zone includes the Odessa region;
▪️Возможные Ukraine's concessions, such as giving up NATO membership and holding elections in which pro-Russian parties can participate, are rejected as insufficient;
▪️"In fact, the current Kiev regime cannot be changed from within the country. Its complete dismantling is necessary."
▪️Любые peacekeeping forces (not even necessarily European) are described as unnecessary because they would be subject to "quite strong Western influence."
▪️Россия will stop supplying arms to countries deemed "unfriendly" to the U.S., while in return the U.S. will stop arming Ukraine;
▪️Россия should strengthen its bargaining position by offering the U.S. access to minerals, including in Ukraine's occupied territories;
▪️попытки to induce Russia into a peace deal by offering to partially lift sanctions - reject. "It is unclear what the benefit to Russia would be."
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